Two methods of forex market analysis stand tall:
1. Fundamental analysis takes into account economic, social and political elementsand how they affect the foreign exchange markets.
2. Technical analysis however , employs graphs and charts to surmise patterns that manifest price movement.
So which is the superior avenue? If you check out forums and websites you will see many traders decidedly supporting one or the other. Those who like to lean on charts will tell you that the only way to make money with currency trading is to classify trends and jump onto them as soon as possible.
On the other hand the proponents of fundamental analysis will contend that it is the economic factors that drive the changes in currency prices and this is assuredly true, at least most of the time. From that stance they will defend that any patterns you might find on a chart are nothing more than coincidental.
This yet, is not a foregone resolution. While the vast influence on the forex market, of variations in the economic and politcal fields, cannot be denied, patterns or trends could possibly be ascertained from price movements specially in the wake of announcements or during periods with no compelling announcements.
One counsel for the technical analysis idealists is that there is a possibility that they will be caught unsuspecting should interest rates suddenly change. If the person does not read the news then there is a big likeliness that they will make a bad trading call. This can end up in a major problem.
In the end, it is an undeniable fact that economic attributes are behind most, if not all of the extreme price movements but it cannot be renounced that there are trends that can be predicted by technical analysis for the shorter periods. So identifying these trends while being aware and up to date on current events is the most safe way to envisage direction of future currency rates. Precise prediction is of course how one makes a profit on the FX market.
Currency market movements are a bit like elastic that can stretch in one way or another and then fall back, although not always to its beginning position. The fundamentals are the stimulus that cause it to stretch. Technical analysis foresees how far it will fare in each direction before reversing.
Therefore you would be well advised not to be a idealist in either form of analysis. Excellent returns are realized better when fundamental and technical analysis are utilized together.
Forex trading requires understanding the forex home business. To trade forex effectively you must understand forex trading strategy to stay abreast of it all.
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Are there any good forex books by authors that actually make money on trading?